Between Brexit and Trump

From Brexit to Trump: Social Media's Role in Democracy

Trump, Brexit, Right-wing Anti-globalisation, and An Uncertain Future for Public Health

Global public health is intimately linked with political, economic and social determinants. The current global order has been built on the assumption that the globalisation agenda shared by political elites of the last several decades will continue. Individuals, businesses and countries have all made decisions, many of them linked to health, based on this assumption. The election of Donald Trum...

Brexit and health services.

Brexit and Translational Research

In a historic referendum on June 23, 2016, the UK voted to leave the European Union (EU) after more than four decades of membership. For the time being, the UK is still a member of the EU until the UK government triggers Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty–which probably won't happen before the end of 2016. A minimum of 2 years of negotiations will follow before theUK ceases to be an EUmember. This...

Bubbles, Blind-Spots and Brexit

In this paper we develop a well-established financial model to investigate whether bubbles were present in opinion polls and betting markets prior to the UK’s vote on EU membership on 23 June 2016. The importance of our contribution is threefold. Firstly, our continuous-time model allows for irregularly spaced time series—a common feature of polling data. Secondly, we build on qualitative compa...